Journal article

They Divided the Sky: Elite Factionalism Factors During Contentious Politics In GDR

Year:

2019

Published in:

Ideology and Politics
authoritarian regime
contentious politics
elite factionalism
game theory modeling
single-party regime
winning coalition

This paper aims to break into a “black box” of inner authoritarian elite mechanics by elucidating the rationales for elite behavior under the pressure of mass discontent during the Peaceful Revolution of 1989 in the GDR. A game-theoretic model is applied and statistically tested in order to explore causal links between elite members’ office types and their biological and institutional age on the one hand and defection on the other. The data corroborate three out of four initial hypotheses, namely that (1) party functionaries and (2) persons holding repression-related offices are most prone to defect, and that (3) both inner and outer party circle officials offer equal support to demands for liberalization. One hypothesis was only partly validated: there is an only partial causal relation between age and proneness to defect.

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Authors: Ivan Gomza, Marlene Laruelle, Mikhail Alexseev, Cynthia Buckley, Ralph S. Clem, J. Paul Goode, Henry E. Hale, Erik Herron, Andrey Makarychev, Madeline McCann, Mariya Omelicheva, Gulnaz Sharafutdinova, Regina Smyth, Sarah Wilson Sokhey, Mikhail Troitskiy, Joshua A. Tucker, Judyth Twigg, Elizabeth Wishnick

2015
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Publisher: Journal of Soviet and Post-Soviet Politics and Society

Authors: Ivan Gomza

2018
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2019
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Black Sun Rising: Political Opportunity Structure Perceptions and Institutionalization of the Azov Movement in Post-Euromaidan Ukraine

Publisher: Cambridge University Pres

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2021
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Республіка Занепаду. Ідеологія Французького Інтеґрального Націоналізму за Третьої Республіки

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2019
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The Splendid School Assembled: Studying and Practicing International Relations in Independent Ukraine

Publisher: Ideology and Politics

Authors: Ivan Gomza, Nadiia Koval

2022
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Too Much Ado About Ukrainian Nationalists: the Azov Movement and the War in Ukraine

Publisher: Krytyka

Authors: Ivan Gomza